Cantor Fitzgerald Keeps ‘Overweight’ Rating on Nvidia
- Rating
- Overweight
- Unchanged
- Target
- $240
- Outcome
- Missed
- within 12 months

What the analyst said
Cantor Fitzgerald analyst C.J. Muse reiterated on October 3, 2025, an ‘Overweight’ rating and $240 price target on Nvidia.
“We have been keenly focused on two key questions over the last year.
First, what will NVDA do with its excess Free Cash Flow from the tremendous growth in its Data Center business?
And second, how will new emerging Data Center players like OpenAI, Oracle, xAI, Coreweave, Lambda, and others, fund their planned hundreds of billions in AI Infrastructure investments?
We got the answer last week with NVIDIA’s investment in OpenAI.
And with this decision we believe NVDA is solidifying its position as THE de facto AI infrastructure company, quarterbacking the robust AI industry buildout that is in its infancy today.
A concern that has arisen following the OAI/NVDA partnership announcement is around the circularity of vendor financing and potential of an AI bubble – this dynamic is the primary focus are of this note, through which we detail our thoughts around demand, the new financing paradigm, broader industry implications, and our view on what this means for NVDA.
In short, we are not concerned – AI is just getting started and our work would suggest staying long and strong the AI-levered group (NVDA our top pick with clear path to $10T+ mkt cap;”
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Where the price stands
NVDA trades at $187. The 27 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $270 to $515, with a median of $315. This $240 target is 24% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note NVDA has moved −1% (from $189). The 12-month window closed on October 3, 2026.
Track record
This call✗ Not reached within 12 months: a year after the note NVDA closed at $213, 11% below the $240 target, but it moved the way the analyst expected. Same target as this firm’s August 25, 2025 note, so it is scored there.
Firm track recordCantor: 80% of its 55 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#10 of 26 firms); on NVIDIA, 3 of 5. Accuracy ranking →
Cantor on NVIDIA
Cantor price targets on NVIDIA
8 calls from August 28, 2025 to March 12, 2026. The target went from $240 to $300 (+25%). The rating stayed Buy.
- March 12, 2026Kept the $300 targetBuy$300
- February 26, 2026Target cut from $400 (−25%)Buy$300
- February 23, 2026Target raised from $300 (+33%)Buy$400
- November 20, 2025Kept the $300 targetBuy$300
- November 17, 2025Kept the $300 targetBuy$300
- October 9, 2025Target raised from $240 (+25%)Buy$300
- October 3, 2025 This noteKept the $240 targetBuy$240
- August 28, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$240



