RBC Capital Lowers Arm Holdings Price Target to $130
- Rating
- Outperform
- Target
- $130
- from $140 (−7%)
- Outcome
- Reached
- on February 25, 2026

What the analyst said
RBC Capital analyst Srini Pajjuri lowered the price target on Arm Holdings (NASDAQ: ARM) to $130.00 (from $140.00) while maintaining an Outperform rating.
“Data Center/CSS Helping Offset Smartphone Memory Headwinds; ARM’s results and outlook were a bit better.
While slower FQ4 royalty growth outlook is likely impacting the stock in the aftermarket, management sounded confident about sustaining 20% growth in FY27.
Data Center revenue more than doubled y/y and ASP tailwinds from v9/ CSS are helping offset weaker smartphone unit growth.
Licensing grew 25% (up 18% ex-Softbank) and management believes Softbank contribution is durable.
While the uncertainty regarding chiplet/SoC strategy remains, management plans to provide further details on March 24.
We believe premium valuation is justified given ~20% royalty growth, Data Center gains, and strong ASP tailwinds. Reiterate Outperform.”
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Where the price stands
ARM trades at $206. The 2 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $320 to $641, with a median of $481. This $130 target is 73% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note ARM has moved +96% (from $105). 12-month window: day 269 of 365, closes on February 5, 2027.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on February 25, 2026, 20 days after the note.
Firm track recordRBC Capital: 73% of its 11 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months. Accuracy ranking →
RBC Capital on Arm
RBC Capital price targets on Arm
5 calls from January 14, 2026 to July 30, 2026. The target went from $140 to $340 (+143%). The rating stayed Buy.
- July 30, 2026Target raised from $260 (+31%)Buy$340
- May 7, 2026Target raised from $175 (+49%)Buy$260
- March 25, 2026Target raised from $130 (+35%)Buy$175
- February 5, 2026 This noteTarget cut from $140 (−7%)Buy$130
- January 14, 2026Earliest call shownBuy$140




