Stifel Raises Tesla Price Target to $492
- Rating
- Buy
- Target
- $492
- from $411 (+20%)
- Outcome
- Missed
- within 12 months

What the analyst said
Stifel analyst Stephen Gengaro raised the price target on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) to $492 (from $411) while maintaining a Buy rating.
The analyst said the likely removal of the $7,500 vehicle tax credit is a relative plus for Tesla. In addition, the rollout of TSLA “Model 2” also a positive catalyst.
“We believe TSLA is very well positioned to deliver robust multi-year growth in 2024-27+.
In the near term, the revamped Model 3 and upcoming Model Y refresh should bolster sales, followed by the commencement of a lower-priced vehicle (Model 2) production that likely garners very strong demand.
We also believe TSLA’s AI-based Full Self-Driving (FSD) initiative has the potential to generate significant value through both sales of FSD, possible licensing agreements, and as critical part of longer-term Cybercab (Robotaxi) initiatives.”
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Where the price stands
TSLA trades at $383. The 22 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $24.86 to $500, with a median of $418. This $492 target is 18% above the median.
Since the note TSLA has moved −7% (from $410). The 12-month window closed on January 6, 2026.
Track record
This call✗ Not reached within 12 months: a year after the note TSLA closed at $433, 12% below the $492 target, but it moved the way the analyst expected.
Firm track recordStifel: 96% of its 24 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#3 of 20 firms); on Tesla, 6 of 7. Accuracy ranking →
Stifel on Tesla
Stifel price targets on Tesla
8 calls from January 6, 2025 to October 8, 2025. The target went from $492 to $483 (−2%). The rating stayed Buy.
- October 8, 2025Target raised from $440 (+10%)Buy$483
- September 5, 2025Target cut from $450 (−2%)Buy$440
- July 24, 2025Kept the $450 targetBuy$450
- April 24, 2025Target cut from $455 (−1%)Buy$450
- March 31, 2025Target cut from $474 (−4%)Buy$455
- February 10, 2025Upgraded to Buy, target cut from $492 (−4%)Buy$474
- January 29, 2025Downgraded to Hold, kept the $492 targetHold$492
- January 6, 2025 This noteEarliest call shownBuy$492



