Goldman Sachs Maintains Neutral on Tesla, $345 Price Target

January 16, 2025 Analyst: Mark Delaney 1 min read Reproduced verbatim
Rating
Hold
Unchanged
Target
$345
Outcome
Reached
on February 11, 2025
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What the analyst said

Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney reiterated a Neutral rating and $345 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).

“We update our views on FSD, add 2027 estimates into our model, and break out the robotaxi business in our revenue build.

For FSD, we believe that performance has meaningfully improved with V13 based on our own recent demo ride, crowdsourced data, and third party reviews.

This reinforces our view that Tesla is one the leaders in autonomous technology.

Importantly, we still believe there is significant progress needed for FSD to become a situationally eyes off product (e.g. on a highway in good weather, or L3 autonomy) or allow for eyes off driving in a wide domain.

Secondly, we assume that Tesla’s robotaxi business will begin commercial operations in 2H26 and reach ~$115 mn of revenue in 2027 (and be relatively neutral to consolidated EPS).

We expect Tesla to use remote assistance and geofencing to launch this service, directionally similar to the approaches used by robotaxis on the road currently from competitors.

We believe that the use of remote assistance and a narrow geographic environment could help to improve technical performance compared to Tesla’s FSD software on consumer vehicles, although limit the rate of scaling for at least the next few years.”

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Where the price stands

TSLA trades at $355. The 19 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $24.86 to $500, with a median of $450. This $345 target is 23% below the median.

Since the note TSLA has moved −17% (from $428). The 12-month window closed on January 16, 2026.

Track record

This call✓ Target reached on February 11, 2025, 40 days after the note. Same target as this firm’s January 2, 2025 note, so it is scored there.

Firm track recordGoldman Sachs: 86% of its 21 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#13 of 28 firms); on Tesla, 6 of 7. Accuracy ranking →

Goldman Sachs on Tesla

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Price Target is an archive of Wall Street analyst research, published for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Analyst ratings and price targets are the opinions of the issuing firms, not of Price Target. Always do your own research or consult a licensed financial adviser.