Piper Sandler Affirms Overweight on Tesla, $500 Price Target
- Rating
- Buy
- Unchanged
- Target
- $500
- Outcome
- Missed
- within 12 months

What the analyst said
Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter reiterated an Overweight rating and $500 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).
“If nothing changes in the next few days, tariffs will almost certainly deal a crippling blow to automotive supply chains in North America.
Because the stakes are so high — and because the outrage is so deafening — we wouldn’t be surprised if Trump capitulates in some way (perhaps he’ll delay implementation, in an effort to save face).
But then again, these things are difficult to predict. In the meantime, we think TSLA is one of the most defensive stocks in our coverage.
Tesla assembles five vehicles in the U.S., and all five rank among the most American-made cars. Nobody is completely insulated, but in relative terms, Tesla is better-positioned than most.
We are updating our model to reflect the 10-K, and we reiterate our Overweight rating. See below for a few post-Q4 insights.”
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Where the price stands
TSLA trades at $355. The 19 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $24.86 to $500, with a median of $450. This $500 target is 11% above the median, the highest on the Street.
Since the note TSLA has moved −12% (from $405). The 12-month window closed on February 3, 2026.
Track record
This call✗ Not reached within 12 months: a year after the note TSLA closed at $431, 14% below the $500 target, but it moved the way the analyst expected. Same target as this firm’s January 21, 2025 note, so it is scored there.
Firm track recordPiper Sandler: 88% of its 24 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#8 of 28 firms); on Tesla, 3 of 5. Accuracy ranking →
Piper Sandler on Tesla
Piper Sandler price targets on Tesla
8 calls from September 22, 2025 to July 24, 2026. The target went from $500 to $450 (−10%). The rating stayed Buy.
- July 24, 2026Target cut from $500 (−10%)Buy$450
- June 10, 2026Kept the $500 targetBuy$500
- May 11, 2026Kept the $500 targetBuy$500
- April 23, 2026Kept the $500 targetBuy$500
- January 29, 2026Kept the $500 targetBuy$500
- November 20, 2025Kept the $500 targetBuy$500
- October 23, 2025Kept the $500 targetBuy$500
- September 22, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$500



