Baird Maintains Outperform on NVIDIA, $195 Price Target
- Rating
- Buy
- Unchanged
- Target
- $195
- Outcome
- Reached
- on October 28, 2025

What the analyst said
Baird analyst Tristan Gerra reiterated an Outperform rating and $195 price target on NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA)
“Our supply chain meetings dismiss lingering concerns around GB200 mix for the year. GB200, following a late and slow start, is now starting to gain momentum.
Previously-discussed delays for GB200 have not been related to demand but to data enter availability (space, electricity) while architecture novelties have taken time to implement and optimize.
Nvidia is pushing NVL72 implementations to maximize efficiency. Investors should not assume that these initial delays will lead customers to skip to the next-generation products.
We expect GB200 to represent the majority of Nvidia’s GB mix in 2H25 and into 2026. GB300 crossover is expected not until 2H26.”
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Where the price stands
NVDA trades at $214. The 27 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $270 to $515, with a median of $315. This $195 target is 38% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note NVDA has moved +54% (from $139). The 12-month window closed on February 20, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on October 28, 2025, 8 months after the note.
Firm track recordBaird: 94% of its 17 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#5 of 28 firms); on NVIDIA, 3 of 3. Accuracy ranking →
Baird on NVIDIA
Baird price targets on NVIDIA
6 calls from August 25, 2025 to September 1, 2026. The target went from $225 to $500 (+122%). The rating stayed Buy.



