What the analyst said
Stifel analyst Stephen Gengaro reiterated a Hold rating and $3.00 price target on Lucid Group Inc.
(NASDAQ: LCID).
“We view Lucid’s 2Q25 results as modestly negative for the shares. Revenue of $259.4 million landed 2.1% above our $254.0 million estimate (in line with consensus) due to slightly higher ASPs.
Gross profit of ($272.4) million and adjusted EBITDA of ($632.1) million both missed our ($246.4) million and ($579.1) million forecasts, respectively, in part due to a roughly $54 million tariff drag.
Excluding tariffs, gross profit of ($221.4) million landed above 1Q25 and 2Q24 results. Cash burn worsened to ($1,012.9) million versus ($589.9) million in 1Q25.
The company adjusted its 2025 production guidance to 18,000-20,000 from 20,000 units previously, reflecting ongoing market volatility and industry headwinds.
Lucid updated its 2025 capital expenditure guidance to $1.1-1.2 billion from $1.4 billion, and noted the tariff impact on 2025 margins will likely be at the low end of previously guided 8-15% range.”
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Where the price stands
LCID trades at $3.60. The 5 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $3 to $11, with a median of $6. This $3 target is 50% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note LCID has moved −85% (from $24.20). The 12-month window closed on August 6, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on July 17, 2025, 0 days after the note. Prices are split-adjusted. Same target as this firm’s July 17, 2025 note, so it is scored there.
Firm track recordStifel: 83% of its 42 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#6 of 26 firms); on Lucid, 4 of 4. Accuracy ranking →
Stifel on Lucid
Stifel price targets on Lucid
8 calls from February 26, 2025 to September 8, 2025. The target went from $3 to $2.10 (−30%). The rating stayed Hold.
- September 8, 2025Kept the $2.10 targetHold$2.10
- August 29, 2025Target cut from $3 (−30%)Hold$2.10
- August 6, 2025 This noteKept the $3 targetHold$3
- July 17, 2025Kept the $3 targetHold$3
- July 3, 2025Kept the $3 targetHold$3
- May 12, 2025Kept the $3 targetHold$3
- May 7, 2025Kept the $3 targetHold$3
- February 26, 2025Earliest call shownHold$3
Targets are adjusted for the 1-for-10 reverse split on Sep 2, 2025, so every call is in the same share terms as this note.





