BofA Securities Affirms Underperform on Lucid, $1 Price Target
- Rating
- Sell
- Unchanged
- Target
- $1
- Unchanged
- Outcome
- Reached
- on January 20, 2026

What the analyst said
BofA Securities analyst John Murphy reiterated an Underperform rating and $1.00 price target on Lucid Group Inc.
(NASDAQ: LCID).
“Lucid’s (LCID) 2Q:25 adj. EPS of ($0.28) was worse than BofA of ($0.18) and Bloomberg consensus of ($0.22). Reported revenue of $259mm was lower than BofA of $267mm and consensus of $262mm.
LCID previously announced 2Q:25 deliveries of 3,309, which were slightly below our original expectations. Adj.
EBITDA of ($632mm) was worse than BofA of ($617mm) and consensus of ($605mm) driven primarily by more negative gross margin than expected (105.0%) vs.
BofAe of (85.0%), management called out a 21percentage point impact to gross margin ~($55mm) from tariffs. This was higher than expected and the previously guided range of 8%-15%.
LCID ended 2Q:25 with $2.8bn of cash & equivalents and short-term investments, down from $3.6bn at end of 1Q:25.
We are revising our estimates to reflect the latest company commentary and recent developments on the regulatory side, including tariffs, IRA incentives, and regulatory credits.
These developments will likely weigh negatively on sales and, as a second derivative, on the production ramps for both the Gravity and the Mid-size vehicle (to be launched in late 2026).
We cut our valuation multiple to 1.5x EV/Sales (prior 2x) to reflect these incremental challenges. Our PO remains unchanged at $1. Reiterate U/P.”
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Where the price stands
LCID trades at $3.79. The 5 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $5 to $11, with a median of $7. This $1 target is 86% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note LCID has moved −84% (from $24.20). The 12-month window closed on August 6, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on January 20, 2026, 6 months after the note. Prices are split-adjusted. Same target as this firm’s July 17, 2025 note, so it is scored there.
Firm track recordBank of America: 81% of its 21 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#14 of 20 firms); on Lucid, 3 of 3. Accuracy ranking →
Bank of America on Lucid
Bank of America price targets on Lucid
5 calls from February 26, 2025 to March 4, 2026. The target stayed at $1. The rating stayed Sell.
- March 4, 2026Kept the $1 targetSell$1
- August 6, 2025 This noteKept the $1 targetSell$1
- July 17, 2025Kept the $1 targetSell$1
- May 7, 2025Kept the $1 targetSell$1
- February 26, 2025Earliest call shownSell$1
Targets are adjusted for the 1-for-10 reverse split on Sep 2, 2025, so every call is in the same share terms as this note.



