Goldman Sachs Reaffirms ‘Neutral’ Rating on Tesla

1 min read Reproduced verbatim
Rating
Neutral
Unchanged
Target
$425
Outcome
Reached
on October 10, 2025
Goldman Sachs and Tesla logos

What the analyst said

Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney reiterated on October 8, 2025, its $425 price target on Tesla, while maintaining a ‘Neutral’ rating on the stock.

“On 10/7/25, Tesla listed new lower-cost or so-called Standard variants of the Models 3 and Y on its US website that have certain features removed (e.g. no panoramic roof, no ambient lighting, no 2nd row screen display).

The starting price for the 3 is now $36,990 and the starting price of the Y is now $39,990 in the US, or 10-15% lower than the prior entry-level trims.

While we think the broader 3/Y lineup offers good value in general (based on features like acceleration and safety), the degree of differentiation on price and features/form factor for the Standard trims is more limited than we had initially expected for Tesla’s lower cost models (although Tesla’s CEO suggested on the last earnings call that the lower cost version was going to be a variant of the Model Y).

Recall that at one point Tesla was aiming to produce an all-new model with a cost that was about 50% lower than the 3/Y platform (and the path to achieving this was a key aspect of its March 2023 investor day).

The company then noted on its 1Q24 call that the new models would instead use aspects of its current models, which would result in reduced cost savings relative to an all-new platform but allow for better utilization on the current manufacturing lines plus a faster time to market.

We show volume by price band analysis in this note, and the relatively moderate cost reduction (especially with IRA credits gone) coupled with reduced features for the Standard trims may result in a somewhat limited effect on incremental volumes.

At least for now, these variants are only offered in the US.”

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Where the price stands

TSLA trades at $344. The 17 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $24.86 to $500, with a median of $442. This $425 target is 4% below the median.

Since the note TSLA has moved −21% (from $433). The 12-month window closed on October 8, 2026.

Track record

This call✓ Target reached on October 10, 2025, 7 days after the note. Same target as this firm’s October 3, 2025 note, so it is scored there.

Firm track recordGoldman Sachs: 78% of its 37 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#17 of 26 firms); on Tesla, 6 of 7. Accuracy ranking →

Goldman Sachs on Tesla

Goldman Sachs price targets on Tesla

8 calls from June 6, 2025 to December 16, 2025. The target went from $285 to $400 (+40%). The rating stayed Hold.

Goldman Sachs targetTSLA share price
  1. December 16, 2025Target cut from $425 (−6%)Hold$400
  2. October 23, 2025Kept the $425 targetHold$425
  3. October 8, 2025 This noteKept the $425 targetHold$425
  4. October 3, 2025Target raised from $395 (+8%)Hold$425
  5. September 18, 2025Target raised from $285 (+39%)Hold$395
  6. July 17, 2025Kept the $285 targetHold$285
  7. July 10, 2025Kept the $285 targetHold$285
  8. June 6, 2025Earliest call shownHold$285
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Price Target is an archive of Wall Street analyst research, published for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Analyst ratings and price targets are the opinions of the issuing firms, not of Price Target. Always do your own research or consult a licensed financial adviser.