KeyBanc Reiterates Underweight on Apple, $250 Price Target
- Rating
- Underweight
- Unchanged
- Target
- $250
- Unchanged
- Downside
- −27%
- AAPL at $345 today

What the analyst said
KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel reiterated an Underweight rating and $250 price target on Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL).
“It’s Not NT Numbers You Should Fear, It’s Slowing Unit/User Growth; We reiterate our UW AAPL.
We think the SOXX sell-off has driven a flight to safety benefitting AAPL at an inopportune time: there is a clear pullback in MNO device upgrade rates and changing GTM strategies that we think are going to have a negative impact on AAPL into iPhone 18 and beyond cycle.
We see the F3Q/F4Q numbers setup as fine as AAPL can shape the inventory position; however, as iPhone pricing rises, unit demand should fall, slowing user growth and likely slowing Services, leaving AAPL as more pricing reliant for growth.
At ~37x our FY27 P/E, AAPL appears priced for perfection.”
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Where the price stands
AAPL trades at $345. The 17 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $250 to $400, with a median of $355. This $250 target is 30% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note AAPL has moved +2% (from $337). 12-month window: day 96 of 365, closes on July 28, 2027.
Track record
This callOpen: AAPL has not reached $250 yet. This 12-month target is scored on July 14, 2027. Same target as this firm’s July 14, 2026 note, so it is scored there.
Firm track recordKeyBanc: 88% of its 16 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#8 of 21 firms). Accuracy ranking →
KeyBanc on Apple
KeyBanc price targets on Apple
6 calls from June 9, 2026 to October 19, 2026. The target stayed at $250. The rating moved from Hold to Sell.




