Mizuho Lowers Applied Materials Price Target to $510
- Rating
- Outperform
- Target
- $510
- from $590 (−14%)
- Upside
- +34%
- AMAT at $381 today
2nd-lowest of 10 current targets on Applied Materials, 18% below the $620 median. Mizuho has reached 89% of its year-old targets (70 scored).

What the analyst said
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered the price target on Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) to $510 (from $590) while maintaining an Outperform rating.
“AMAT reported a solid OctQ and guided JanQ to $11.1B (just above consensus $10.9B), noting continued demand in key end markets. Key points: 1) AMAT noted >10 new fabs/line expansions for the third straight quarter, and 20 coming online in C27E,
2) AMAT sees C26/27E WFE up >40%/>30% y/y with its revenue outpacing the WFE as leading-edge foundry/logic, DRAM/HBM a 50% SAM upside and advanced packaging lead the way,
3) JanQ Rev/EPS guided to $11.1B/$4.35, up 7% q/q, just above consensus $10.9B/$4.26, and
4) AGS reiterated at mid-teens% LT CAGR with AIx adding 20% new chambers/year.
Maintain Outperform, adjust ests/PT to $510, as we see AMAT well-positioned, growing share as a leading AI supply-chain enabler with strong visibility into 2027E+.”
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Where the price stands
AMAT trades at $381. The 10 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $500 to $850, with a median of $620. This $510 target is 18% below the median.
12-month window: day 0 of 365, closes on November 13, 2027.
Track record
This callOpen: a 12-month target, scored on November 13, 2027, a year after the note.
Firm track recordMizuho: 89% of its 70 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#2 of 26 firms). Accuracy ranking →
Mizuho on Applied Materials
Mizuho price targets on Applied Materials
8 calls from January 27, 2026 to November 13, 2026. The target went from $370 to $510 (+38%). The rating stayed Buy.
- November 13, 2026 This noteTarget cut from $590 (−14%)Buy$510
- August 25, 2026Target cut from $650 (−9%)Buy$590
- August 14, 2026Kept the $650 targetBuy$650
- July 9, 2026Target raised from $540 (+20%)Buy$650
- May 27, 2026Target raised from $500 (+8%)Buy$540
- May 15, 2026Target raised from $410 (+22%)Buy$500
- February 13, 2026Target raised from $370 (+11%)Buy$410
- January 27, 2026Earliest call shownBuy$370




