Wedbush Reaffirms Outperform on Tesla, $515 Price Target
- Rating
- Buy
- Unchanged
- Target
- $515
- Outcome
- Missed
- within 12 months

What the analyst said
Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives reiterated an Outperform rating and $515 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).
“This morning TSLA announced its Q4 delivery numbers of 495.6k vehicles below both the Street’s 504.8k estimate and Street whisper numbers of ~500k representing the first annual decline in delivery volumes in the company’s history.
Overall we would characterize this is a respectable delivery number although the Street and bulls wanted to see a 500k+ number and the stock will be a bit weak on the knee jerk reaction.
Model 3/Y deliveries was 471.9k and Other Models 23.6k with total production of 459.5k.
Looking to FY25, we remain highly confident in Tesla’s ability to accelerate delivery growth into FY25 with 20%-30% delivery growth targets the focus for the Street as TSLA is also expected to launch its lower-priced EV in early 2025 to spur growth for vehicle deliveries.
We maintain our OUTPERFORM rating and $515 price target.”
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Where the price stands
TSLA trades at $355. The 19 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $24.86 to $500, with a median of $450. This $515 target is 14% above the median, the highest on the Street.
Since the note TSLA has moved −12% (from $404). The 12-month window closed on January 2, 2026.
Track record
This call✗ Not reached within 12 months: a year after the note TSLA closed at $438, 15% below the $515 target, but it moved the way the analyst expected.
Firm track recordWedbush: 25% of its 8 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#28 of 28 firms); on Tesla, 2 of 8. Accuracy ranking →
Wedbush on Tesla
Wedbush price targets on Tesla
8 calls from September 5, 2025 to April 2, 2026. The target went from $500 to $600 (+20%). The rating stayed Buy.
- April 2, 2026Kept the $600 targetBuy$600
- January 2, 2026Kept the $600 targetBuy$600
- December 15, 2025Kept the $600 targetBuy$600
- October 23, 2025Kept the $600 targetBuy$600
- October 20, 2025Kept the $600 targetBuy$600
- October 7, 2025Kept the $600 targetBuy$600
- September 26, 2025Target raised from $500 (+20%)Buy$600
- September 5, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$500



