What the analyst said
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered the price target on AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) to $140 (from $160) while maintaining an Outperform rating.
“’AMD reported DecQ and guided MarQ in line to $7.1B (consensus $7.0B), with key DC revs 1H FLAT h/h, we believe below buy-side estimates.
Key highlights: 1) AMD did not guide 2025E AI Server revenue, BUT management noted 1H25E DC revs FLAT vs 2H24 and sees 2H25E better with MI355X — we lower AMD 2025E AI Server rev to ‾$8.8B (prior $9.4B, cons $9.2B); 2) MI355X AI server ramp pulled into ‾JunQ, MI400x on track for 2026E; 3) Conventional Server gaining share with Turin now >25% of AMD platforms, and strong Genoa; 4) MarQ PC down seasonally we est HSD% after a strong DecQ, while new Ryzen AI PRO could ramp in 2H25E with Windows refresh on >150 platforms; and 5) Gaming weak but MarQ RDNA4 launches positive.
Maintaining Outperform: AI Server still growing 76% y/y (though NVDA/AVGO dominate the AI Server market); adjust EPS/PT to $140 (prior: $160).”
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Where the price stands
AMD trades at $529. The 26 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $465 to $1,250, with a median of $680. This $140 target is 79% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note AMD has moved +342% (from $120). The 12-month window closed on February 5, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on June 25, 2025, 5 months after the note.
Firm track recordMizuho: 95% of its 38 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#4 of 28 firms); on AMD, 9 of 9. Accuracy ranking →
Mizuho on AMD
Mizuho price targets on AMD
8 calls from January 10, 2025 to July 15, 2025. The target went from $160 to $175 (+9%). The rating stayed Buy.
- July 15, 2025Target raised from $152 (+15%)Buy$175
- July 2, 2025Target raised from $135 (+13%)Buy$152
- May 19, 2025Kept the $135 targetBuy$135
- May 16, 2025Target raised from $117 (+15%)Buy$135
- May 7, 2025Target cut from $120 (−3%)Buy$117
- March 14, 2025Target cut from $140 (−14%)Buy$120
- February 5, 2025 This noteTarget cut from $160 (−13%)Buy$140
- January 10, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$160





