Stifel Raises Microsoft Price Target to $500
- Rating
- Buy
- Target
- $500
- from $475 (+5%)
- Outcome
- Reached
- on July 9, 2025

What the analyst said
Stifel analyst Brad Reback raised the price target on Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) to $500 (from $475) while maintaining a Buy rating.
“After a few rocky quarters, Microsoft returned to form, posting a strong print across the board.
Most importantly, Azure growth was 300bps above the high end of guidance, driven by enterprise strength in the non-AI business, modest improvement in the recently troublesome scale motions, and robust AI contribution (+~170% Y/Y) as some capacity came on-line faster than expected, although given increased demand management does not expect to reach AI Supply/Demand equilibrium until FY26.
Beyond the top-line, management’s ability to manage OPEX remains astounding as Y/Y expenses only increased 3% CC on 2% headcount growth (down Q/Q).
With 230K employees and senior management’s relentless focus on efficiency we expect this trend to continue, especially as the company moves to absorb the gross-margin impacts from its capex investments.”
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Where the price stands
MSFT trades at $531. The 28 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $515 to $750, with a median of $630. This $500 target is 21% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note MSFT has moved +34% (from $395). The 12-month window closed on May 1, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on July 9, 2025, 2 months after the note.
Firm track recordStifel: 83% of its 42 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#6 of 26 firms); on Microsoft, 1 of 2. Accuracy ranking →
Stifel on Microsoft
Stifel price targets on Microsoft
8 calls from May 1, 2025 to September 4, 2026. The target went from $500 to $530 (+6%). The rating moved from Buy to Hold.
- September 4, 2026Target raised from $450 (+18%)Hold$530
- July 30, 2026Target raised from $400 (+13%)Hold$450
- June 24, 2026Target cut from $415 (−4%)Hold$400
- June 23, 2026Kept the $415 targetHold$415
- May 6, 2026Kept the $415 targetHold$415
- April 30, 2026Downgraded to Hold, target cut from $640 (−35%)Hold$415
- October 30, 2025Target raised from $500 (+28%)Buy$640
- May 1, 2025 This noteEarliest call shownBuy$500




