TD Cowen Reiterates $509 Price Target on Tesla
- Rating
- Buy
- Unchanged
- Target
- $509
- Outcome
- Missed
- within 12 months

What the analyst said
TD Cowen analyst Itay Michaeli reiterated on October 23, 2025, a ‘Buy’ rating and $509 price target on Tesla.
“While there’s no shortage of NT industry challenges, we believe industry headwinds are widely recognized and mostly non-pivotal to the LT thesis.
Meanwhile, the list of potential game-changing level catalysts spanning AVs, EVs and robotics is too large to ignore.
With Tesla making impressive AV progress and certain aspects of the AV story still overlooked, in our view, we continue to like the risk/reward.
We see upcoming potential catalysts from:
- Removal of Austin safety driver (would be a major milestone);
- FSD feature expansion (Consumer AV oppty);
- Cybercab launch;
- Q1 Optimus unveil;
- Product momentum.”
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Where the price stands
TSLA trades at $358. The 17 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $24.86 to $500, with a median of $442. This $509 target is 15% above the median, the highest on the Street.
Since the note TSLA has moved −18% (from $439). The 12-month window closed on October 23, 2026.
Track record
This call✗ Not reached within 12 months: a year after the note TSLA closed at $383, 25% below the $509 target, and it moved the other way. Same target as this firm’s October 9, 2025 note, so it is scored there.
Firm track recordTD Cowen: 83% of its 36 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#5 of 26 firms); on Tesla, 4 of 6. Accuracy ranking →
TD Cowen on Tesla
TD Cowen price targets on Tesla
8 calls from June 23, 2025 to December 1, 2025. The target went from $330 to $509 (+54%). The rating stayed Buy.
- December 1, 2025Kept the $509 targetBuy$509
- November 17, 2025Kept the $509 targetBuy$509
- October 23, 2025 This noteKept the $509 targetBuy$509
- October 9, 2025Target raised from $374 (+36%)Buy$509
- September 12, 2025Kept the $374 targetBuy$374
- July 24, 2025Target raised from $330 (+13%)Buy$374
- June 27, 2025Kept the $330 targetBuy$330
- June 23, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$330




