Baird Lowers Tesla’s Price Target to $522
- Rating
- Outperform
- Unchanged
- Target
- $522
- from $538 (−3%)
- Upside
- +46%
- TSLA at $358 today

What the analyst said
Baird analyst Ben Kallo lowered the price target on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) to $522.00 (from $538.00) while maintaining an Outperform rating.
“No change in outlook. Like Q4, the Q1 call was also much more focused than quarterly calls have been historically.
Our takeaway from this is that Musk is laser focused on the laundry list of TSLA’s projects combined with the upcoming SpaceX IPO.
We view TSLA as a core holding in the long term, and think the projects it is executing on this year will bring growth back to the company.
In the very short term, we think the stock is likely linked to SpaceX IPO and potential merger rumors.”
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Where the price stands
TSLA trades at $358. The 17 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $24.86 to $500, with a median of $442. This $522 target is 18% above the median, the highest on the Street.
Since the note TSLA has moved −8% (from $388). 12-month window: day 197 of 365, closes on April 23, 2027.
Track record
This callOpen: TSLA has not reached $522 yet. This 12-month target is scored on April 23, 2027.
Firm track recordBaird: 90% of its 31 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#1 of 26 firms); on Tesla, 5 of 6. Accuracy ranking →
Baird on Tesla
Baird price targets on Tesla
8 calls from September 8, 2025 to July 6, 2026. The target went from $320 to $522 (+63%). The rating moved from Hold to Buy.
- July 6, 2026Kept the $522 targetBuy$522
- June 23, 2026Kept the $522 targetBuy$522
- April 23, 2026 This noteTarget cut from $548 (−5%)Buy$522
- January 29, 2026Kept the $548 targetBuy$548
- December 30, 2025Kept the $548 targetBuy$548
- October 23, 2025Kept the $548 targetBuy$548
- September 19, 2025Upgraded to Buy, target raised from $320 (+71%)Buy$548
- September 8, 2025Earliest call shownHold$320




