HSBC Affirms Hold on SpaceX, $150 Price Target
- Rating
- Hold
- Unchanged
- Target
- $150
- from $115 (+30%)
- Outcome
- Reached
- on October 21, 2026

What the analyst said
HSBC analyst Nicolas Cote-Colisson reiterated a Hold rating and $150 price target on SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX).
“Two key pieces of financial guidance: From the earnings call, the guidance given was: 1) Q4 capex of USD35-40bn compared to VA cons of USD30.3bn, i.e. +23.6% at the midpoint; and 2) Q1 revenues of USD33-37bn vs VA cons of USD23.1bn, i.e. +51.3% at the mid-point.
Elsewhere, management reiterated expectations for USD100bn ARR across all three segments during December 2026 (alongside ARR of USD500-1,000bn by end-2027).
Q4 gross margin should be closer to Q2 levels due to various one-off adjusting items in Q3.”
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Where the price stands
SPCX trades at $145. The 30 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $75 to $800, with a median of $233. This $150 target is 35% below the median.
12-month window: day 1 of 365, closes on October 21, 2027.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on October 21, 2026, 0 days after the note.
Firm track recordHSBC: 38% of its 8 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#27 of 28 firms). Accuracy ranking →
HSBC on SpaceX
HSBC price targets on SpaceX
2 calls from July 23, 2026 to October 21, 2026. The target went from $115 to $150 (+30%). The rating stayed Hold.
- October 21, 2026 This noteTarget raised from $115 (+30%)Hold$150
- July 23, 2026Earliest call shownHold$115




