Baird Lowers Intel Price Target to $20
- Rating
- Neutral
- Target
- $20
- from $25 (−20%)
- Outcome
- Reached
- on January 30, 2025

What the analyst said
Baird analyst Tristan Gerra lowered the price target on Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) to $20 (from $25) while maintaining a Neutral rating.
“Management believes part of the 4Q upside was driven by customers managing inventories ahead of potential tariffs.
Intel expects to lose market share in PCs notably against ARM this year before an expected share rebound in 2026, and expects stabilizing share in data center this year.
2025 gross capex outlook is now $20B, at the low end of the prior range, while Intel is not yet providing a FCF forecast for 2025. Neutral-rated.”
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Where the price stands
INTC trades at $92.07. The 12 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $85 to $165, with a median of $111. This $20 target is 82% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note INTC has moved +366% (from $19.75). The 12-month window closed on January 30, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on January 30, 2025, 0 days after the note.
Firm track recordBaird: 95% of its 21 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#1 of 21 firms); on Intel, 3 of 3. Accuracy ranking →
Baird on Intel
Baird price targets on Intel
7 calls from January 30, 2025 to July 24, 2026. The target went from $20 to $125 (+525%). The rating stayed Hold.
- July 24, 2026Target raised from $75 (+67%)Hold$125
- April 24, 2026Target raised from $50 (+50%)Hold$75
- January 23, 2026Target raised from $40 (+25%)Hold$50
- October 24, 2025Target raised from $20 (+100%)Hold$40
- April 14, 2025Kept the $20 targetHold$20
- February 12, 2025Kept the $20 targetHold$20
- January 30, 2025 This noteEarliest call shownHold$20




