Jefferies Reiterates Buy on NVIDIA, $185 Price Target

Analyst: Blayne Curtis 1 min read Reproduced verbatim
Rating
Buy
Unchanged
Target
$185
Outcome
Reached
on September 30, 2025
Jefferies and NVIDIA logos

What the analyst said

Jefferies analyst Blayne Curtis reiterated a Buy rating and $185 price target on NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA)

“Continued beat-and-raise momentum with $11B of Blackwell revenue coming in well above the “few billion” guidance, despite worry driven by the supply chain.

The better Blackwell ramp should help position the rest of the year better as we get more comfortable with the transition from Hopper to Blackwell.

The revenue crossover from Hopper to Blackwell is expected to occur in Q1 with Blackwell ultra (B300) expected to be available in the 2H.

The faster Blackwell ramp brought GMs below our expectations (low 70s), but this should revert as Blackwell ramps to full capacity (back to mid 70s) later in the year.

Networking was the only other place to pick at as the move to Blackwell and the move from IB to Ethernet (SpectrumX) led to another down quarter, but a return to growth is expected in Q1 as NVLink revenue from GB200 layers in.

Overall, the Blackwell supply ramp is the gating factor for revenue in the year with hyperscaler capex rising, and everything here points to a stronger-than-expected supply ramp.

The Jan/Apr transition gap is now crossed, and we see an easier road ahead with GTC as another positive catalyst.”

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Where the price stands

NVDA trades at $187. The 27 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $270 to $515, with a median of $315. This $185 target is 41% below the median, the lowest on the Street.

Since the note NVDA has moved +47% (from $127). The 12-month window closed on February 26, 2026.

Track record

This call✓ Target reached on September 30, 2025, 8 months after the note. Same target as this firm’s February 14, 2025 note, so it is scored there.

Firm track recordJefferies: 62% of its 21 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#23 of 26 firms); on NVIDIA, 3 of 4. Accuracy ranking →

Jefferies on NVIDIA

Jefferies price targets on NVIDIA

4 calls from August 27, 2025 to May 21, 2026. The target went from $205 to $300 (+46%). The rating moved from Hold to Buy.

Jefferies targetNVDA share price
  1. May 21, 2026Target raised from $250 (+20%)Buy$300
  2. November 20, 2025Target raised from $240 (+4%)Buy$250
  3. November 4, 2025Upgraded to Buy, target raised from $205 (+17%)Buy$240
  4. August 27, 2025Earliest call shownHold$205
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Price Target is an archive of Wall Street analyst research, published for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Analyst ratings and price targets are the opinions of the issuing firms, not of Price Target. Always do your own research or consult a licensed financial adviser.