Piper Sandler Reaffirms Overweight on Tesla, $450 Price Target

March 24, 2025 Analyst: Alexander Potter 1 min read Reproduced verbatim
Rating
Buy
Unchanged
Target
$450
Outcome
Reached
on October 1, 2025
Piper Sandler and Tesla logos

What the analyst said

Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter reiterated an Overweight rating and $450 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA)

“It would be naive to claim that Elon Musk’s behavior is having no impact on demand. All else equal, Musk’s political endeavors are probably a net negative for deliveries.

However: we think it’s incorrect when investors and/or journalists point to politics as the primary driver of Tesla’s double-digit y/y delivery declines (in Q1).

As illustrated on page 2, updated wait time figures suggest that SUPPLY is a bigger driver of the upcoming Q1 delivery miss.

Even if demand were infinite, Tesla’s Q1 deliveries would probably not have been much higher, due to multi-week shutdowns impacting all four of the company’s Model Y factories.

With new products (apparently) on deck for an unveiling in the next few months — plus a robo-taxi launch in June – we reiterate our OW and $450 PT.”

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This research note is reproduced verbatim from the issuing firm. Price Target never edits, paraphrases or alters analysts’ words — we only republish them in one place.

Where the price stands

TSLA trades at $383. The 22 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $24.86 to $500, with a median of $418. This $450 target is 8% above the median.

Since the note TSLA has moved +54% (from $249). The 12-month window closed on March 24, 2026.

Track record

This call✓ Target reached on October 1, 2025, 6 months after the note. Same target as this firm’s March 20, 2025 note, so it is scored there.

Firm track recordPiper Sandler: 84% of its 19 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#9 of 20 firms); on Tesla, 3 of 5. Accuracy ranking →

Piper Sandler on Tesla

Piper Sandler price targets on Tesla

8 calls from January 21, 2025 to June 10, 2025. The target went from $500 to $400 (−20%). The rating stayed Buy.

Piper Sandler targetTSLA share price
  1. June 10, 2025Kept the $400 targetBuy$400
  2. May 22, 2025Kept the $400 targetBuy$400
  3. May 6, 2025Kept the $400 targetBuy$400
  4. April 16, 2025Target cut from $450 (−11%)Buy$400
  5. March 25, 2025Kept the $450 targetBuy$450
  6. March 24, 2025 This noteKept the $450 targetBuy$450
  7. March 20, 2025Target cut from $500 (−10%)Buy$450
  8. January 21, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$500
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Price Target is an archive of Wall Street analyst research, published for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Analyst ratings and price targets are the opinions of the issuing firms, not of Price Target. Always do your own research or consult a licensed financial adviser.