Piper Sandler Lowers Tesla Price Target to $400
- Rating
- Buy
- Target
- $400
- from $450 (−11%)
- Outcome
- Reached
- on September 15, 2025

What the analyst said
Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter lowered the price target on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) to $400 (from $450) while maintaining an Overweight rating.
“Q1 financials will likely underwhelm. Deliveries of 337k units missed consensus (of 378k), and as a result, gross margin is probably trending near multi-year lows.
Plus, it’s hard to rely on new products for delivery growth, because Tesla hasn’t disclosed specifications or pricing for “Model 2”.
We’re cutting our estimates to reflect this outlook, and our price target is now $400, down from $450.
However, while our 2-3 month outlook leans bearish, remember that TSLA can rally sharply whenever “big picture” catalysts emerge.
As highlighted on page 2, there are some major catalysts on the horizon (new products and robo-taxis). Perhaps not on the Q1 call, but eventually, we think TSLA will report good news on these topics.
When that day arrives, we wouldn’t want to be underweight.”
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Where the price stands
TSLA trades at $383. The 22 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $24.86 to $500, with a median of $418. This $400 target is 4% below the median.
Since the note TSLA has moved +51% (from $254). The 12-month window closed on April 16, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on September 15, 2025, 5 months after the note.
Firm track recordPiper Sandler: 84% of its 19 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#9 of 20 firms); on Tesla, 3 of 5. Accuracy ranking →
Piper Sandler on Tesla
Piper Sandler price targets on Tesla
8 calls from January 21, 2025 to June 10, 2025. The target went from $500 to $400 (−20%). The rating stayed Buy.
- June 10, 2025Kept the $400 targetBuy$400
- May 22, 2025Kept the $400 targetBuy$400
- May 6, 2025Kept the $400 targetBuy$400
- April 16, 2025 This noteTarget cut from $450 (−11%)Buy$400
- March 25, 2025Kept the $450 targetBuy$450
- March 24, 2025Kept the $450 targetBuy$450
- March 20, 2025Target cut from $500 (−10%)Buy$450
- January 21, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$500



