Piper Sandler Maintains Overweight on Tesla, $450 Price Target
- Rating
- Buy
- Unchanged
- Target
- $450
- Outcome
- Reached
- on October 1, 2025

What the analyst said
Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter reiterated an Overweight rating and $450 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).
“17,400 Teslas were registered in the latest week; this is the strongest weekly result of 2025. YTD registrations are nearly 115k units.
With 8 days of data remaining in the quarter, there’s an outside chance Tesla could achieve flat y/y growth (or thereabouts) in 1Q25.
That would be a solid result, in our view, given the disruptive impact of a factory shudown earlier this quarter. For reference, China generally represents 30%-40% of Tesla’s company-wide deliveries.
In European and U.S. factories, where re-tooling generally takes longer to complete, the shutdown impact will almost certainly be larger (hence our expectation that company-wide Q1 deliveries will fall y/y in Q1).”
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Where the price stands
TSLA trades at $383. The 22 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $24.86 to $500, with a median of $418. This $450 target is 8% above the median.
Since the note TSLA has moved +37% (from $278). The 12-month window closed on March 25, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on October 1, 2025, 6 months after the note. Same target as this firm’s March 20, 2025 note, so it is scored there.
Firm track recordPiper Sandler: 84% of its 19 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#9 of 20 firms); on Tesla, 3 of 5. Accuracy ranking →
Piper Sandler on Tesla
Piper Sandler price targets on Tesla
8 calls from January 21, 2025 to June 10, 2025. The target went from $500 to $400 (−20%). The rating stayed Buy.
- June 10, 2025Kept the $400 targetBuy$400
- May 22, 2025Kept the $400 targetBuy$400
- May 6, 2025Kept the $400 targetBuy$400
- April 16, 2025Target cut from $450 (−11%)Buy$400
- March 25, 2025 This noteKept the $450 targetBuy$450
- March 24, 2025Kept the $450 targetBuy$450
- March 20, 2025Target cut from $500 (−10%)Buy$450
- January 21, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$500



