Morgan Stanley Keeps Overweight on Tesla, $410 Price Target
- Rating
- Buy
- Price target
- $410
- Implied upside
- +76%
- vs $233.29 prior close

Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas reiterated an Overweight rating and $410 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA)
“Lessons from the American ‘Enlightenment.’ The recent market calamity due in part to the US tariff situation has raised deeper questions among investors about the state of the US economy, the benefits of advanced AI technology and the evolving geopolitical balance of power.
Within our coverage, no other stock is so clearly identified with the volatile debate around trade and politics as Tesla (rated OW, ‘Top Pick’, $410 price target).
Regardless of the near-term policy path, we believe the march of Embodied AI will see a proliferation of machines embedded with sophisticated robotics that navigate and manipulate 3-dimensional physical space powered by agentic software foundation models.
At the same time, the propagation of humanoid robots – when compounded over 1 or 2 decades – may change the fundamental nature of ‘production’ and how an economy is defined.
The ability to ‘produce’ labor in a factory… as machines make machines with minimal human intervention may alter historical measurements such as dependency ratios, retirement age and GDP per capita.”
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Tracking this call
Since this note+61% TSLA $233.29 → $375 (Oct 9) · 80% of the way to the target
This call✓ Target reached on Sep 15, 2025, 6 months after the note. Same target as this firm’s Mar 20, 2025 note, so it is scored there.
Firm track recordMorgan Stanley: 78% of its 18 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#12 of 20 firms); on Tesla, 4 of 4. Accuracy ranking →




