UBS Keeps Buy on NVIDIA, $185 Price Target
- Rating
- Buy
- Price target
- $185
- Implied upside
- +65%
- vs $112.20 prior close

UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri reiterated a Buy rating and $185 price target on NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA).
“NVDA announced the H20 will now require a license for shipment to China and other D5 countries (e.g. Russia and other US arms-embargo countries) and the company is also taking a $5.5B reserve.
Based on our discussions, this is effectively a ban.
While clearly reducing NVDA’s ability to beat and raise, this may be a clearing event for the stock if in exchange for committing to build $500B of AI infrastructure in the US over the next 4yrs, NVDA used this as concession to effectively kill the AI Diffusion Rule.
While we are making no changes to our current estimates, fully stripping H20 out of our numbers would drive ~$0.20 EPS impact.”
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Tracking this call
Since this note+105% NVDA $112.20 → $230.48 (Oct 9) · target reached
This call✓ Target reached on Sep 30, 2025, 6 months after the note. Same target as this firm’s Apr 11, 2025 note, so it is scored there.
Firm track recordUBS: 72% of its 18 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#14 of 20 firms); on NVIDIA, 5 of 5. Accuracy ranking →




