UBS Keeps Buy on NVIDIA, $235 Price Target
- Rating
- Buy
- Unchanged
- Target
- $235
- Outcome
- Reached
- on May 14, 2026

What the analyst said
UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri reiterated a Buy rating and $235 price target on NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA).
“NVDA’s deal, as reported in the press, to license Groq’s high speed inference technology – while coming at a substantial $20B price tag – could bolster NVDA’s ability to service high speed inference applications, an area where GPUs are not ideally suited because of all the off chip HBM (high bandwidth memory).
This would also be one of the fastest growing parts of the inference market and we see this as another pivot (alongside Rubin CPX) to offering ASIC-like architectures in addition to its mainstream GPU roadmap.
Our own discussions with hyperscale experts over the past year suggested that many saw Groq’s offering as highly differentiated, frequently singled out among other accelerator startups.
We remain bullish on NVDA as we head into 2026 and expect stock price appreciation from here to be driven almost wholly by upwards EPS revisions, while we expect the NTM P/E multiple to remain in the 20x range based on consensus buy side EPS as the market looks past the ~$9-9.50 EPS for C2026 that is suggested by NVDA’s backlog and starts to look for visibility into C2027.”
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Where the price stands
NVDA trades at $229. The 27 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $270 to $515, with a median of $315. This $235 target is 25% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note NVDA has moved +20% (from $191). 12-month window: day 284 of 365, closes on December 29, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on May 14, 2026, 4 months after the note.
Firm track recordUBS: 79% of its 24 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#15 of 20 firms); on NVIDIA, 5 of 5. Accuracy ranking →
UBS on NVIDIA
UBS price targets on NVIDIA
8 calls from September 23, 2025 to February 10, 2026. The target went from $205 to $235 (+15%). The rating stayed Buy.
- February 10, 2026Kept the $235 targetBuy$235
- January 6, 2026Kept the $235 targetBuy$235
- December 29, 2025 This noteKept the $235 targetBuy$235
- December 9, 2025Kept the $235 targetBuy$235
- November 20, 2025Kept the $235 targetBuy$235
- October 29, 2025Target raised from $205 (+15%)Buy$235
- October 10, 2025Kept the $205 targetBuy$205
- September 23, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$205



