BofA Securities Reiterates Underperform on Rivian, $10 Price Target

May 7, 2025 Analyst: John Murphy 1 min read Reproduced verbatim
Rating
Sell
Price target
$10
Implied downside
-26%
vs $13.50 prior close
Bank of America and Rivian logos

BofA Securities analyst John Murphy reiterated an Underperform rating and $10 price target on Rivian Automotive Inc (NASDAQ: RIVN).

“RIVN reported 1Q:25 results above BofA and consensus estimates. Specifically, adj. EBITDA of ($0.30bn) compared with BofAe at ($0.50bn) and consensus at ($0.55bn).

Revenue of $1.24bn was above BofAe of $0.97bn. Gross margin was 17%, better than BofAe of -8%.

This was largely due to higher regulatory credits ($157mm) and higher Software and Services revenue ($318mm).

Recall that Software and Services revenue includes the recognition of payments from VW to fund the JV. These payments and performance obligations recognized were $167mm in 1Q.

RIVN’s deliveries of 8,640 vehicles in 1Q:25 were down sequentially from 14,183 in 4Q:24, and down 36% YoY from 13,588 in 1Q:24.

RIVN produced 14,611 vehicles in the quarter, a 15% QoQ increase from the 12,727 vehicles produced in 4Q:24.”

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Tracking this call

Since this note+6% RIVN $13.50 → $14.33 (Oct 9) · moving away from the target

This call✗ Not reached within 12 months: a year after the note RIVN closed at $14.18, 42% above the $10 target, and it moved the other way.

Firm track recordBank of America: 73% of its 15 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#13 of 20 firms); on Rivian, 0 of 2. Accuracy ranking →

Bank of America on Rivian · target history
Feb 24, 2025 · $10 · Sell May 7, 2025 · $10 · Sell · this note Mar 4, 2026 · $14 · Sell
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