Baird Reiterates Neutral on Rivian, $14 Price Target
- Rating
- Hold
- Unchanged
- Target
- $14
- Unchanged
- Outcome
- Reached
- on July 22, 2025

What the analyst said
Baird analyst Ben Kallo reiterated a Neutral rating and $14 price target on Rivian Automotive Inc (NASDAQ: RIVN).
“We model deliveries of 9.9K vs. consensus 10.6K and expect production to exceed deliveries as RIVN prepares for roughly one month of factory downtime in 2H.
This downtime is associated with preparing the manufacturing lines for the R2, which remains on track for 1H26.
An Autonomy Day for investors in 2H is a potential catalyst and will likely shed additional details on the company’s development ambitions.
We expect details of the event will be given on or before RIVN’s Q2 report.”
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Where the price stands
RIVN trades at $13.96. The 11 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $14 to $23, with a median of $20. This $14 target is 30% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note RIVN has moved +1% (from $13.81). The 12-month window closed on June 25, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on July 22, 2025, 27 days after the note.
Firm track recordBaird: 93% of its 15 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#4 of 20 firms); on Rivian, 2 of 2. Accuracy ranking →
Baird on Rivian
Baird price targets on Rivian
8 calls from April 15, 2025 to September 10, 2026. The target went from $14 to $23 (+64%). The rating moved from Hold to Buy.
- September 10, 2026Kept the $23 targetBuy$23
- August 4, 2026Kept the $23 targetBuy$23
- July 6, 2026Kept the $23 targetBuy$23
- April 6, 2026Kept the $23 targetBuy$23
- February 13, 2026Target cut from $25 (−8%)Buy$23
- December 18, 2025Upgraded to Buy, target raised from $14 (+79%)Buy$25
- June 25, 2025 This noteKept the $14 targetHold$14
- April 15, 2025Earliest call shownHold$14



