Morgan Stanley Keeps Overweight on Tesla, $410 Price Target
- Rating
- Buy
- Price target
- $410
- Implied downside
- -11%
- vs $459.46 prior close

Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas reiterated an Overweight rating and $410 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).
“Tesla 3Q deliveries (497k) beat sell side consensus expectations (443k) by 12% and came in at the high end of the buy side expectation range (450k-500k), likely driven by a demand pull-forward ahead of the expiry of EV consumer tax credits (Sep 30th) – 3Q results marked the first y/y increase in deliveries this year.
ESS deployments also came in higher vs. expectations. • Deliveries beat cons by 12%: 497.1k vs. sell-side cons of 443k and buyside around ~475k (ranged from ~450-500k) • Production lower vs. cons by 4%: of 447.5k vs. cons of 468.5k • Energy deployments beat cons by 14%: 12.5GWh vs. cons of 10.94GWh and MSe of 9.66GWh • Earnings release on Wednesday, October 22, 2025.”
The price target and rating on this page are the opinion of the issuing research firm and its analyst, not of Price Target. This page is published for informational purposes only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consider your own circumstances and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.
This research note is reproduced verbatim from the issuing firm. Price Target never edits, paraphrases or alters analysts’ words — we only republish them in one place.
Tracking this call
Since this note−18% TSLA $459.46 → $375 (Oct 9) · target reached
This call✓ Target reached on Sep 15, 2025, 39 days after the note. Same target as this firm’s Aug 7, 2025 note, so it is scored there.
Firm track recordMorgan Stanley: 78% of its 18 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#12 of 20 firms); on Tesla, 4 of 4. Accuracy ranking →




