Raymond James Assumes NVIDIA at Strong Buy, $272 Price Target

Analyst: Simon Leopold 1 min read Reproduced verbatim
Rating
Strong Buy
New coverage
Target
$272
First target
Upside
+46%
NVDA at $187 today
Raymond James and NVIDIA logos

What the analyst said

Raymond James analyst Simon Leopold assumes coverage on NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) with a Strong Buy rating and a price target of $272.

“We resume coverage of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) with a Strong Buy rating.

NVIDIA, the leader in accelerated and AI computing, benefits directly from a multi-year build-out of “AI factories” and data-center-scale platforms.

Instead of an annual new GPU architecture, NVIDIA alternates between a GPU die architecture update in year one, then an “Ultra” chip/systems/networking update in year two.

With hundreds of millions of installed GPUs, more than six million developers, and deep integration into enterprise and sovereign AI initiatives worldwide, NVIDIA is uniquely positioned at the center of what it calls the “AI industrial revolution,” where data is the raw material and digital intelligence is the output.

We establish a $272 price target. Our model reflects estimates for key projects from our market model.

We model peak Blackwell sales at 6.9M chips in CY26 vs. the 3M+ NVIDIA will have shipped through October and the 7M it has on order for the remainder of F4Q26 and FY27/CY26.

Street estimates appear conservative, and our market model and detailed NVIDIA segment forecasts suggest positive revisions.

Power constraints and the overall AI cycle are the key risks, and we expect shares to experience at least one outsized drawdown every year or two, but right now the investment cycle appears to be sustaining strong AI investment momentum and shares are reasonable at ~28x NTM P/E.”

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Where the price stands

NVDA trades at $187. The 27 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $270 to $515, with a median of $315. This $272 target is 14% below the median.

Since the note NVDA has moved 0% (from $187). 12-month window: day 351 of 365, closes on November 20, 2026.

Track record

This callOpen: NVDA has not reached $272 yet. This 12-month target is scored on November 20, 2026.

Firm track recordRaymond James: 73% of its 11 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months; on NVIDIA, 3 of 3. Accuracy ranking →

Earnings reactionOne of 27 notes after NVIDIA’s Nov 19 results: 17 raised · 0 cut · 8 kept. See every call →

Raymond James on NVIDIA

Raymond James price targets on NVIDIA

8 calls from November 20, 2025 to August 27, 2026. The target went from $272 to $515 (+89%). The rating stayed Buy.

Raymond James targetNVDA share price
  1. August 27, 2026Target raised from $352 (+46%)Buy$515
  2. August 25, 2026Target raised from $330 (+7%)Buy$352
  3. May 21, 2026Target raised from $323 (+2%)Buy$330
  4. May 15, 2026Kept the $323 targetBuy$323
  5. March 19, 2026Target raised from $291 (+11%)Buy$323
  6. February 26, 2026Target raised from $272 (+7%)Buy$291
  7. January 6, 2026Kept the $272 targetBuy$272
  8. November 20, 2025 This noteEarliest call shownBuy$272
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Price Target is an archive of Wall Street analyst research, published for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Analyst ratings and price targets are the opinions of the issuing firms, not of Price Target. Always do your own research or consult a licensed financial adviser.