Morgan Stanley Lowers Meta Price Target to $775, Names New Top Pick
- Rating
- Overweight
- Target
- $775
- from $825 (−6%)
- Outcome
- Reached
- on September 24, 2026

What the analyst said
Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak lowered the price target on Meta (NASDAQ: META) to $775.00 (from $825.00) while maintaining an Overweight rating.
“META sentiment has troughed due to GenAI ROIC and long-term positioning fears, and more recently macro ad market and regulatory question marks.
In all, META now trades at ~15X our ’27 $36 EPS, 1 standard deviation below the long-term average, which creates a strong buying opportunity, in our view.
Note too that our $36 of ’27 EPS 1) Considers some macro weakness (as we reduce ad estimates by 1% in ’26 to be more conservative) and 2) Does not factor in the potential $3-7bn of savings from the reported 20% potential workforce reductions (see here)…which all else equal could add $1+ to ’27 EPS (or provide cushion to our base case if ad markets weaken).
Our $775 PT has ~50% upside.”
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Where the price stands
META trades at $615. The 33 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $650 to $1,000, with a median of $860. This $775 target is 10% below the median.
Since the note META has moved +17% (from $526). 12-month window: day 216 of 365, closes on March 30, 2027.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on September 24, 2026, 6 months after the note.
Firm track recordMorgan Stanley: 89% of its 38 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#6 of 21 firms). Accuracy ranking →
Morgan Stanley on Meta
Morgan Stanley price targets on Meta
4 calls from January 29, 2026 to October 19, 2026. The target went from $825 to $820 (−1%). The rating stayed Buy.
- October 19, 2026Target raised from $775 (+6%)Buy$820
- September 24, 2026Kept the $775 targetBuy$775
- March 30, 2026 This noteTarget cut from $825 (−6%)Buy$775
- January 29, 2026Earliest call shownBuy$825




