Morgan Stanley Lowers Meta Price Target to $775, Names New Top Pick

Analyst: Brian Nowak 1 min read Reproduced verbatim
Rating
Overweight
Target
$775
from $825 (−6%)
Outcome
Reached
on September 24, 2026
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What the analyst said

Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak lowered the price target on Meta (NASDAQ: META) to $775.00 (from $825.00) while maintaining an Overweight rating.

“META sentiment has troughed due to GenAI ROIC and long-term positioning fears, and more recently macro ad market and regulatory question marks.

In all, META now trades at ~15X our ’27 $36 EPS, 1 standard deviation below the long-term average, which creates a strong buying opportunity, in our view.

Note too that our $36 of ’27 EPS 1) Considers some macro weakness (as we reduce ad estimates by 1% in ’26 to be more conservative) and 2) Does not factor in the potential $3-7bn of savings from the reported 20% potential workforce reductions (see here)…which all else equal could add $1+ to ’27 EPS (or provide cushion to our base case if ad markets weaken).

Our $775 PT has ~50% upside.”

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Where the price stands

META trades at $615. The 33 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $650 to $1,000, with a median of $860. This $775 target is 10% below the median.

Since the note META has moved +17% (from $526). 12-month window: day 216 of 365, closes on March 30, 2027.

Track record

This call✓ Target reached on September 24, 2026, 6 months after the note.

Firm track recordMorgan Stanley: 89% of its 38 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#6 of 21 firms). Accuracy ranking →

Morgan Stanley on Meta

Morgan Stanley price targets on Meta

4 calls from January 29, 2026 to October 19, 2026. The target went from $825 to $820 (−1%). The rating stayed Buy.

Morgan Stanley targetMETA share price
  1. October 19, 2026Target raised from $775 (+6%)Buy$820
  2. September 24, 2026Kept the $775 targetBuy$775
  3. March 30, 2026 This noteTarget cut from $825 (−6%)Buy$775
  4. January 29, 2026Earliest call shownBuy$825
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Price Target is an archive of Wall Street analyst research, published for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Analyst ratings and price targets are the opinions of the issuing firms, not of Price Target. Always do your own research or consult a licensed financial adviser.