KeyBanc Lowers Alphabet Price Target to $410
- Rating
- Buy
- Target
- $410
- from $435 (−6%)
- Upside
- +19%
- GOOGL at $344 today

What the analyst said
KeyBanc analyst Justin Patterson lowered the price target on Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) to $410 (from $435) while maintaining an Overweight rating.
“Cloud vs. Search & Personal Intelligence; We remain positive on Alphabet’s long-term positioning in AI and eventual Waymo monetization.
However, with Cloud and TPU momentum already factored in and Gemini 4 Argon now released, we believe both Search growth and Services operating margin to be at least in line (if not better).
Consensus strikes us as aggressive here; thus, we are mindful shares could be rangebound until estimates rationalize.
We maintain our OW rating but lower our PT to $410 (23.3x 2028E P/E) to reflect lower Google Services earnings and a more conservative Google Cloud P/E for TPU contribution.”
The price target and rating on this page are the opinion of the issuing research firm and its analyst, not of Price Target. This page is published for informational purposes only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consider your own circumstances and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.
This research note is reproduced verbatim from the issuing firm. Price Target never edits, paraphrases or alters analysts’ words — we only republish them in one place.
Where the price stands
GOOGL trades at $344. The 24 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $350 to $515, with a median of $420. This $410 target is 2% below the median.
12-month window: day 0 of 365, closes on October 19, 2027.
Track record
This callOpen: a 12-month target, scored on October 19, 2027, a year after the note.
Firm track recordKeyBanc: 80% of its 10 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#18 of 28 firms). Accuracy ranking →
KeyBanc on Alphabet (Google)
KeyBanc price targets on Alphabet (Google)
8 calls from January 26, 2026 to October 19, 2026. The target went from $360 to $410 (+14%). The rating stayed Buy.
- October 19, 2026 This noteTarget cut from $435 (−6%)Buy$410
- October 1, 2026Target cut from $445 (−2%)Buy$435
- July 10, 2026Target raised from $425 (+5%)Buy$445
- April 30, 2026Target raised from $380 (+12%)Buy$425
- April 22, 2026Kept the $380 targetBuy$380
- April 20, 2026Target raised from $370 (+3%)Buy$380
- February 5, 2026Target raised from $360 (+3%)Buy$370
- January 26, 2026Earliest call shownBuy$360



