KeyBanc Lowers Alphabet Price Target to $410

October 19, 2026 Analyst: Justin Patterson 1 min read Reproduced verbatim
Rating
Buy
Target
$410
from $435 (−6%)
Upside
+19%
GOOGL at $344 today
KeyBanc and Alphabet (Google) logos

What the analyst said

KeyBanc analyst Justin Patterson lowered the price target on Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) to $410 (from $435) while maintaining an Overweight rating.

“Cloud vs. Search & Personal Intelligence; We remain positive on Alphabet’s long-term positioning in AI and eventual Waymo monetization.

However, with Cloud and TPU momentum already factored in and Gemini 4 Argon now released, we believe both Search growth and Services operating margin to be at least in line (if not better).

Consensus strikes us as aggressive here; thus, we are mindful shares could be rangebound until estimates rationalize.

We maintain our OW rating but lower our PT to $410 (23.3x 2028E P/E) to reflect lower Google Services earnings and a more conservative Google Cloud P/E for TPU contribution.”

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Where the price stands

GOOGL trades at $344. The 24 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $350 to $515, with a median of $420. This $410 target is 2% below the median.

12-month window: day 0 of 365, closes on October 19, 2027.

Track record

This callOpen: a 12-month target, scored on October 19, 2027, a year after the note.

Firm track recordKeyBanc: 80% of its 10 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#18 of 28 firms). Accuracy ranking →

KeyBanc on Alphabet (Google)

KeyBanc price targets on Alphabet (Google)

8 calls from January 26, 2026 to October 19, 2026. The target went from $360 to $410 (+14%). The rating stayed Buy.

KeyBanc targetGOOGL share price
  1. October 19, 2026 This noteTarget cut from $435 (−6%)Buy$410
  2. October 1, 2026Target cut from $445 (−2%)Buy$435
  3. July 10, 2026Target raised from $425 (+5%)Buy$445
  4. April 30, 2026Target raised from $380 (+12%)Buy$425
  5. April 22, 2026Kept the $380 targetBuy$380
  6. April 20, 2026Target raised from $370 (+3%)Buy$380
  7. February 5, 2026Target raised from $360 (+3%)Buy$370
  8. January 26, 2026Earliest call shownBuy$360
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Price Target is an archive of Wall Street analyst research, published for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Analyst ratings and price targets are the opinions of the issuing firms, not of Price Target. Always do your own research or consult a licensed financial adviser.