Oppenheimer Reiterates Outperform on Microsoft, $625 Price Target
- Rating
- Outperform
- Unchanged
- Target
- $625
- Unchanged
- Upside
- +18%
- MSFT at $531 today

What the analyst said
Oppenheimer analyst Brian Schwartz reiterated an Outperform rating and $625 price target on Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT).
“Reiterating our Outperform rating on Microsoft after strong F1Q27 (Sept.) results that cleared rising investor expectations.
Specifically, Azure growth accelerated again, exceeding buyside expectations, and management guided to roughly 50% growth in the December quarter.
These items suggest that added capacity from improving efficiency is converting to revenue.
However, some added capacity is pushing out to 2HFY27, which could mean less capacity-related upside in future quarters.
In addition, M365 commercial cloud growth accelerated despite seat growth slowing on higher ARPU from Copilot, premium-suite upsell, and GitHub Copilot consumption.
This supports our view that Copilot monetization is expanding beyond seats and helps dispel AI disruption concerns. Further, operating margin hit a 25+-year-high in F1Q27.
Negatively, FCF declined as cash capital spending roughly doubled, and gross margin compression persists”
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Where the price stands
MSFT trades at $531. The 27 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $515 to $750, with a median of $630. This $625 target is 1% below the median.
12-month window: day 0 of 365, closes on October 29, 2027.
Track record
This callOpen: MSFT has not reached $625 yet. This 12-month target is scored on October 26, 2027. Same target as this firm’s October 26, 2026 note, so it is scored there.
Firm track recordOppenheimer: 88% of its 8 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months. Accuracy ranking →
Oppenheimer on Microsoft
Oppenheimer price targets on Microsoft
8 calls from July 9, 2025 to October 29, 2026. The target went from $600 to $625 (+4%). The rating stayed Buy.
- October 29, 2026 This noteKept the $625 targetBuy$625
- October 26, 2026Target raised from $570 (+10%)Buy$625
- September 22, 2026Target raised from $515 (+11%)Buy$570
- July 30, 2026Kept the $515 targetBuy$515
- July 22, 2026Kept the $515 targetBuy$515
- April 30, 2026Target cut from $630 (−18%)Buy$515
- October 30, 2025Target raised from $600 (+5%)Buy$630
- July 9, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$600




