Stifel Lowers NVIDIA Price Target to $205

Analyst: Ruben Roy 1 min read Reproduced verbatim
Rating
Buy
Target
$205
from $315 (−35%)
Upside
+18%
NVDA at $174 today

3rd-lowest of 28 current targets on NVIDIA, 32% below the $300 median. Stifel has reached 83% of its year-old targets (42 scored).

Stifel and NVIDIA logos

What the analyst said

Stifel analyst Ruben Roy lowered the price target on NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) to $205 (from $315) while maintaining a Buy rating.

“After the close, The New York Times reported that Jensen Huang had a relationship with another NVDA executive, and The Wall Street Journal reported that the board is preparing to remove him as CEO, with Bloomberg adding that a search firm has been engaged, and an interim CEO is under consideration.

Nothing has been announced, but we now treat a leadership transition as our base case. The fundamentals are not the issue as we expect a modest F3Q27 beat on 11/17, supply remains the binding constraint, and we continue to believe FY28 estimates skew higher.

The issue is the multiple. With no successor publicly identified, we would focus on who leads and on what timeline, retention of senior leadership, and channel and export-compliance posture. We reiterate Buy but lower our target to $205 (from $315), now 13x FY28E EPS of $15.65 (from 20x).”

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Where the price stands

NVDA trades at $174. The 28 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $200 to $515, with a median of $300. This $205 target is 32% below the median.

12-month window: day 0 of 365, closes on November 11, 2027.

Track record

This callOpen: a 12-month target, scored on November 11, 2027, a year after the note.

Firm track recordStifel: 83% of its 42 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#5 of 26 firms); on NVIDIA, 4 of 4. Accuracy ranking →

Stifel on NVIDIA

Stifel price targets on NVIDIA

8 calls from February 26, 2026 to November 11, 2026. The target went from $250 to $205 (−18%). The rating stayed Buy.

Stifel targetNVDA share price
  1. November 11, 2026 This noteTarget cut from $315 (−35%)Buy$205
  2. August 27, 2026Target raised from $282 (+12%)Buy$315
  3. August 19, 2026Kept the $282 targetBuy$282
  4. May 21, 2026Target raised from $250 (+13%)Buy$282
  5. March 31, 2026Rating only, no price targetBuyNo target
  6. March 18, 2026Kept the $250 targetBuy$250
  7. March 17, 2026Kept the $250 targetBuy$250
  8. February 26, 2026Earliest call shownBuy$250
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Price Target is an archive of Wall Street analyst research, published for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Analyst ratings and price targets are the opinions of the issuing firms, not of Price Target. Always do your own research or consult a licensed financial adviser.