Raymond James Affirms Outperform on NVIDIA, $170 Price Target
- Rating
- Outperform
- Unchanged
- Target
- $170
- Outcome
- Reached
- on July 15, 2025

What the analyst said
Raymond James analyst Srini Pajjuri reiterated an Outperform rating and $170 price target on NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA).
“F4Q results were consistent with our recent expectations while F1Q outlook was better.
Blackwell was particularly strong and appears on track to exceed Hopper revenue in F1Q, suggesting that delays are now behind. Growth was driven by U.S.
Hyperscalers while China declined as a % of sales (14%), which should help allay concerns regarding export restrictions.
The company is seeing an acceleration in inferencing demand as reasoning models (such as DeepSeek) require significantly higher compute (up to 100x, per management).
Management did not specifically comment on 2026 but sounded confident about its mid and long-term prospects based partly on its engagements in emerging areas such as Agentic AI and Physical AI (robotics).
On the other hand, F1Q gross margin outlook is slightly weaker although management continues to see mid 70% levels later in the year.
Networking declined q/q for a second quarter in a row, likely due to timing issues.
Overall, we view the results/outlook as solid and expect sentiment to further improve heading into GTC conference. Reiterate Strong Buy.”
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Where the price stands
NVDA trades at $187. The 27 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $270 to $515, with a median of $315. This $170 target is 46% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note NVDA has moved +42% (from $131). The 12-month window closed on February 27, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on July 15, 2025, 5 months after the note.
Firm track recordRaymond James: 73% of its 11 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months; on NVIDIA, 3 of 3. Accuracy ranking →
Raymond James on NVIDIA
Raymond James price targets on NVIDIA
8 calls from November 20, 2025 to August 27, 2026. The target went from $272 to $515 (+89%). The rating stayed Buy.
- August 27, 2026Target raised from $352 (+46%)Buy$515
- August 25, 2026Target raised from $330 (+7%)Buy$352
- May 21, 2026Target raised from $323 (+2%)Buy$330
- May 15, 2026Kept the $323 targetBuy$323
- March 19, 2026Target raised from $291 (+11%)Buy$323
- February 26, 2026Target raised from $272 (+7%)Buy$291
- January 6, 2026Kept the $272 targetBuy$272
- November 20, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$272



