What the analyst said
Baird analyst Colin Sebastian raised the price target on Meta Platforms Inc.
(NASDAQ: META) to $740 (from $635) while maintaining an Outperform rating.
“Conversations” event highlights AI-powered products, tighter integration with Advantage+.
Launching Commerce, Ads, and Agents across WhatsApp and Messenger platforms announced today is an important step, in our view, to unlock substantial incremental messaging revenues for Meta.
We estimate CTM ads are tracking towards $15-20Bn run-rate, WhatsApp ads could add ~$10Bn over several years, and additional subscriptions/fees contributing another $10Bn (total messaging monetization opportunity ~$40-50Bn by 2030), altogether contributing ~$100/share in enterprise value.
Please also see our AI survey of Meta advertisers inside. Maintain Outperform rating, raising price target to $740.’”
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Where the price stands
META trades at $605. The 33 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $650 to $1,000, with a median of $860. This $740 target is 14% below the median.
Since the note META has moved −16% (from $719). The 12-month window closed on July 2, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on July 31, 2025, 29 days after the note.
Firm track recordBaird: 90% of its 30 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#1 of 26 firms); on Meta, 4 of 6. Accuracy ranking →
Baird on Meta
Baird price targets on Meta
7 calls from July 31, 2025 to October 22, 2026. The target went from $820 to $815 (−1%). The rating stayed Buy.
- October 22, 2026Target raised from $750 (+9%)Buy$815
- July 30, 2026Target cut from $830 (−10%)Buy$750
- July 16, 2026Kept the $830 targetBuy$830
- January 29, 2026Target raised from $815 (+2%)Buy$830
- December 23, 2025Target cut from $820 (−1%)Buy$815
- October 30, 2025Kept the $820 targetBuy$820
- July 31, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$820





