What the analyst said
Stifel analyst Mark Kelley lowered the price target on Meta (NASDAQ: META) to $785.00 (from $875.00) while maintaining a Buy rating.
“Despite commentary from our 4Q advertising checks supporting solid 4Q results (particular strength from Instagram Reels), we believe the bulk of investor attention will be centered on ’26 totex / capex (particularly following the “Meta Compute” announcement).
We believe there is some room for totex / capex estimates to tick higher (Stifel ’26 ests +2% / +9% vs. Street) and would be cautious owning this one into the print.
We marginally adjust Reality Labs operating income assumptions to account for recent headcount reductions, and we bring our multiple lower to reflect rejuvenated near-term scrutiny on ROI on AI investments.”
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Where the price stands
META trades at $607. The 33 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $650 to $1,000, with a median of $860. This $785 target is 9% below the median.
Since the note META has moved −6% (from $648). 12-month window: day 283 of 365, closes on January 23, 2027.
Track record
This callOpen: META has not reached $785 yet. This 12-month target is scored on January 23, 2027.
Firm track recordStifel: 83% of its 41 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#5 of 26 firms); on Meta, 2 of 6. Accuracy ranking →
Stifel on Meta
Stifel price targets on Meta
8 calls from July 31, 2025 to April 30, 2026. The target went from $900 to $780 (−13%). The rating stayed Buy.
- April 30, 2026Target cut from $805 (−3%)Buy$780
- April 13, 2026Target cut from $820 (−2%)Buy$805
- January 29, 2026Target raised from $785 (+4%)Buy$820
- January 23, 2026 This noteTarget cut from $875 (−10%)Buy$785
- October 30, 2025Target cut from $900 (−3%)Buy$875
- October 24, 2025Kept the $900 targetBuy$900
- September 18, 2025Kept the $900 targetBuy$900
- July 31, 2025Earliest call shownBuy$900





