HSBC Reaffirms Hold on NVIDIA, $120 Price Target
- Rating
- Hold
- Unchanged
- Target
- $120
- Outcome
- Reached
- on May 12, 2025

What the analyst said
HSBC analyst Frank Lee reiterated a Hold rating and $120 price target on NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) ahead of Q1 results on May 28.
“Ahead of 1QFY26 results on 28 May; we expect sales of USD43.5bn – in line with management guidance/consensus of USD43bn/USD43.1bn.
We expect 2QFY26 sales of USD45.0bn which is lower than consensus of USD46.7bn but still ahead of recent bearish sell side estimates of USD44bn.
Hence, we expect Nvidia’s 1QFY26 and 2QFY26 sales to remain on track to meet market expectations.
However, similar to the last couple of quarters, we do not expect a significant beat and raise as we factor in the loss of H20 AI GPU revenues starting from 2QFY26 and lower 1QFY26 GM due to the impact from the USD5.5bn write-off from China licensing restrictions.”
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Where the price stands
NVDA trades at $187. The 27 analysts who set a target in the last 3 months range from $270 to $515, with a median of $315. This $120 target is 62% below the median, the lowest on the Street.
Since the note NVDA has moved +38% (from $135). The 12-month window closed on May 15, 2026.
Track record
This call✓ Target reached on May 12, 2025, 39 days after the note. Same target as this firm’s April 3, 2025 note, so it is scored there.
Firm track recordHSBC: 60% of its 20 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#25 of 26 firms); on NVIDIA, 4 of 5. Accuracy ranking →
HSBC on NVIDIA
HSBC price targets on NVIDIA
3 calls from October 15, 2025 to May 19, 2026. The target went from $320 to $325 (+2%). The rating stayed Buy.



