Baird Lowers Tesla Price Target to $440

Jan 29, 2025 Analyst: Ben Kallo 1 min read Reproduced verbatim
Rating
Buy
Price target
$440
from $480
Implied upside
+11%
vs $398.09 prior close
Baird and Tesla logos

Baird analyst Ben Kallo lowered the price target on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) to $440 (from $480) while maintaining an Outperform rating.

“TSLA’s Q4 results missed our/consensus estimates for most key metrics despite a record quarter for deliveries and Energy volumes.

No mention was given in the earnings deck or on the call regarding the 20%-30% volume growth Musk mentioned on the Q3 call.

We expect deliveries (and margin) to be choppy throughout the year as TSLA ramps the refreshed Model Y and launches a more affordable vehicle(s).

We continue to view TSLA as a core holding but note valuation will likely remain one of the key bear arguments in the near-term.”

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Tracking this call

Since this note−6% TSLA $398.09 → $375 (Oct 9) · moving away from the target

This call✓ Target reached on Sep 24, 2025, 8 months after the note.

Firm track recordBaird: 91% of its 11 targets at least a year old were reached within 12 months (#5 of 20 firms); on Tesla, 5 of 6. Accuracy ranking →

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Price Target is an archive of Wall Street analyst research, published for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Analyst ratings and price targets are the opinions of the issuing firms, not of Price Target. Always do your own research or consult a licensed financial adviser.